Wednesday September 15th


Dow futures are flat as markets fight the September doldrums

U.S. stock index futures were flat Wednesday after the blue chip index dropped nearly 300 points on Tuesday, the latest in a string of negative trading sessions this September. Dow futures traded near the flatline. S&P 500 futures traded ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures inched 0.2% higher. U.S. stock futures bounced overnight, but turned negative Wednesday morning. Then, some bullish economic news released before the bell Wednesday helped stabilize markets a bit . The NY Fed’s Empire Index, a measure of manufacturing in the region came in at 34.3 for September, way ahead of the 18 consensus estimate from FactSet and an acceleration from August. Markets have been in a funk so far this month amid rising investor worries about the delta variant derailing the economic recovery, along with hand-wringing over the next action by the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed Tuesday at the lowest since Aug. 20. Tuesday marked the fifth straight day of losses for the Nasdaq. The Dow, S&P 500 and the small-cap Russell 2000 index have been in the red for six of the last seven days. “Despite concerns about the recent downshift in economic and business cycle momentum, we remain confident that strong growth lies ahead and activity is bound to re-accelerate,” wrote JPMorgan strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, in a note Wednesday. “We remain positive on the equity outlook, and expect S&P 500 to reach 4,700 by end of this year and surpass 5,000 next year on better than expected earnings.” Microsoft shares gained more than 1% in premarket trading after announcing a dividend increase and a sizable $60 billion share repurchase program. Energy stocks, which have been popular bets among investors banking on a big economic recovery, gained in premarket trading as WTI crude topped $71. Exxon added about 1%. Apple shares rebounded slightly in premarket trading after the shares fell Tuesday after the unveiling of a new iPhone and other products. Casino stocks like Las Vegas Sands and Wynn Resorts traded in the red again in the premarket. Those names took a big hit Tuesday as the government of Macau looks to increase regulatory scrutiny over casinos and Chinese health authorities reported a Covid-19 outbreak. In regular trading Tuesday, the Dow fell 292.06 points, or 0.8%, to 34,577.57, retreating after it snapped a five-day losing streak on Monday. The S&P 500 lost 0.6% to finish at 4,443.05 and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.5% to 15,037.76. September has historically been a down month for the markets, which have seen an average decline of 0.56% in the month since 1945, according to CFRA. And after eight months of straight gains, strategists say a major pullback could be imminent. For September, the Dow is off by more than 2% and the S&P 500 is off 1.8%. The S&P 500 is on track to see its worth monthly performance since October 2020. The S&P 500 has continued to move higher throughout the year, dipping below the 50-day moving average only once, according to Fundstrat. Mike Wilson, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley, told CNBC’s “Fast Money” that could be just the beginning. “The midcycle transition always ends with a correction in the index,” he said of the S&P 500. “Maybe it’ll be this week, maybe a month from now. I don’t think we’ll get done with this year, however, with that 50-day moving average holding up throughout the year because that’s the pattern we typically see in this part of the recovery phase.” On Tuesday the Labor Department released data before the bell showing a smaller-than-expected rise in U.S. inflation for the month of August. Consumer prices rose 5.3% from a year ago and 0.3% from July. Stripping out food and energy, the consumer price index was up just 0.1% for the month. Initially, markets rallied but turned back down after the market open as uncertainty about the timing of the Federal Reserve’s tapering of asset purchases settled in. Shares in Asia-Pacific were largely lower on Wednesday, as investors reacted to the release of Chinese economic data. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dropped 1.84% to close at 25,033.21 — falling more than 1% for the third straight session. Mainland Chinese stocks closed lower, with the Shanghai composite dipping 0.17% to 3,656.22 while the Shenzhen component shed 0.614% to 14,536.31. The Nikkei 225 in Japan declined 0.52% on the day to 30,511.71 while the Topix index slipped 1.06% to 2,096.39. South Korea’s Kospi edged 0.15% higher to close at 3,153.40. Oil prices climbed on Wednesday after industry data showed a larger than expected drawdown in U.S. crude inventories and on expectations demand will rise as vaccination roll-outs widen. Brent oil rose 92 cents, or 1.3%, to $74.52 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 99 cents, or 1.4%, to $71.45 a barrel. Gold prices on Wednesday consolidated in a tight range near the key $1,800 level as softer U.S. inflation data fed uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s tapering timeline. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,800.38 per ounce, but slightly off a one-week peak of $1,808.50 hit on Tuesday, in part because the dollar recovered some ground following a slide driven by the inflation data. U.S. gold futures eased 0.3% to $1,801.80.